Bovada - Betting Wiki

bovada bet history

bovada bet history - win

Possible to view Bovada bet history?

I know Bovada is trash/scam/untrustworthy and I don't plan on using them again. I made some bets back in September and on the site they don't show any open bets past 31 days. I requested and received my bet history which has reference #'s and the $$ amount for each bet, but no other details like what the bet is actually on.
Does anyone know of a way to view open bet details using references #'s or any other method? Thanks for any help.
submitted by Carth-Onasi to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Can't view bet history bovada mobile or desktop

I used to be able to find this but don't see it anywhere anymore. Anyone know why? This looks shady as shit
submitted by El_Jefe_Stathole to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Python library that gets odds on any event for all major sports, and almost 30 different sportsbooks

What's up fellow degens.
I wrote and released a Python package that accesses Sportsbook Review's GraphQL endpoint (sportsbookreview.com). This means you can access any odds information found on SBR in the time it takes to load a webpage. Any betting market found on SBR is supported, e.g. half and quarter spread, ml and total, and futures odds. Any sportsbook found on SBR is supported. I have tested the program for basketball, football, UFC, tennis, soccer and hockey, but it should work for baseball, golf, horse racing, boxing and politics as well.

Examples

Limitations

Links

With that being said, feedback welcome! If any SBR employees are reading, please for the love of god don't shut it down, I worked way too hard on this
EDIT: I created a discord server if anyone has questions / problems getting it working / feedback!
submitted by Iceberg_Bart_Simpson to sportsbook [link] [comments]

What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little nit?

I'll have you know I graduated top of my class at Upswing Poker, and I've been involved in numerous secret home games, and I have busted opponents over 300 times. I am trained in piosolver and I'm the top player in the entire Northeast US live 5-10 scene. You are nothing to me but just another fish. I will bluff you the fuck out with precision the likes of which has never been seen before in this cardroom, mark my fucking words. You think you can get away with playing that shit against me on the Internet? Think again, fucker. As we speak I am contacting my secret network of sharks across Bovada and your hand histories are being traced right now so you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your bankroll. You're fucking dead, nit. I can raise anywhere, anytime, and I can stack you in over seven hundred ways, and that's just with pocket fours. Not only am I extensively trained in hand reading, but I have RTA access to the entire game tree of No Limit Holdem and I will use it to its full extent to wipe your miserable ass off the face of this table, you little shit. If only you could have known what unholy retribution your little "clever" string bet was about to bring down upon you, maybe you would have held your fucking chips. But you couldn't, you didn't, and now you're paying the price, you goddamn loser fish. I will shit fury all over you and you will drown in it. You're fucking dead, donkey.
submitted by AnyPairIsTheNuts to poker [link] [comments]

Bovada Not Showing Open Bets

My Bovada account is not showing any of my open bets or my transaction history. Has this happened to anyone else? I'm hoping it's just a high traffic issue where it isn't loading but I had about $50 tied up in open bets for college football today
Edit: I’m seeing mine again
submitted by BoBichettesFlow to sportsbook [link] [comments]

A juicy 6 leg parlay for tonight's MNF game.

Alvin Kamara: 5+ receptions, 44+ receiving yards
Latavius Murray: 8+ carries, 35+ rushing yards
Darren Waller: 5+ receptions, 41+ receiving yards
Total Odds: +1150
You could tack on a Kamara or Murray TD if you want but I felt these odds were PLENTY good enough already.
This may be the biggest steal I've ever had, kamara is likely to be heavily involved in the pass game with Michael Thomas out. Latavius Murray may see more running due to this, and even if not he had 15 carries for 48 yards last game against a far better Buccaneers run defense.
Expect Darren Waller to reach those marks easily as Carr's prime target (led team in routes run and receptions last week) against a weak Saints secondary.
I missed a +900 4 leg parlay yesterday by FOUR yards on CMC which would have hit had he not got injured. Hope I can heal my wounds here.
Edit: sorry this is on bovada, I'm doubling down you bunch of damn degens
Edit 2: you can also lower Kamara to 34+ receiving yards for +825 if you'd like to be a bit safer
Final Pre-Game edit: keep in mind this is still a 6 leg parlay and not to empty your bankroll into it. Do your own research and make sure you like what you're doing, don't just listen to some random stranger on the internet. BOL to everyone.
One more edit to anyone still trying to make this bet: to get the same odds now (7:00 pm EST) please refer to this comment for the new stats needed

End of first half edit:

Waller - 5 rec, 54 yards (CASHED)
Murray - 3 carries, 14 yards (5 carries, 21 yards needed), expecting Murray to get more carries in second half with fresher legs than Kamara.
Kamara - 2 receptions, 23 yards (3 receptions, 21 yards needed)
This is gonna be a nail biter boys

Edit - KAMARA CASHED

Latavius Murray still needs 5 carries and 21 yards. These holding calls are killing this drive and allowing for no run. I did not bank on the saint playing from behind
Saints D pls

End of 4th quarter edit

No change, kamara and Waller both covered, but the Saints D look like they gave up after the first 20 minutes. Not a great outlook :/
Literally a broken tackle every single play. Saints can't get someone down at FC.
EDIT: FUMBLE!!!! WE HAVE FUCKING LIFE LETS GOOOOOOO HUGGEEEEE
Edit: well, not looking great unfortunately. It was a great ride everyone and I'll post one of these again next week, more likely I'll take players from a bunch of different games Sunday. I am sorry to disappoint today. We may have lost the battle but we will not lose the war.
This was a lot of fun and I'd be happy to make a discord to follow one like this every so often is people wanted.
edit
Hey maybe Latavius will get some garbage time carries
Meme
Thanks for nothing Jenkins

Final Edit

Wild ride boys. Never imagined the Saints playing from behind like that and their defense getting absolutely steamrolled. Definitely gonna start doing more of these as it was a lot of fun, let's just all remember to keep low bets on these things and we can have some fun.
Remember that we only need around 1 out of every 10 of these types of picks to break even as well. I'll make a discord for live discussion next time too, and I'll put up my pick history for this nfl season
Here's the discord link for anyone that wants to discuss the next pick to be made. I'll post it in this sub with the next pick as well.
Maybe it was never about the bet, maybe it was about the friends we made along the way
submitted by CertainlyJB to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Betting on NBA 2K/FIFA/EA NHL played by gamers

Perhaps you have seen these. They seem to run pretty much 24/7, often on Twitch under names like LigaPro and CyberLiveArena. To give the impression of transparency, the gamers (always dead-eyed Russian teenagers) always appear on the screen like you see for a lot of Twitch streams.
It's gotta be fairly corruptible but I'm still curious if anyone has delved into this and has any insights. For the books (like Bovada) that carry their odds, the lines list both the team being played and the gamer playing them, and Googling their names does give you some good history on betting-forward score aggregator sites.
Looking forward to the "You are such a shameful idiot for even thinking about this" responses the most.
submitted by jeffreydonger to sportsbook [link] [comments]

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submitted by freespinsgaming to u/freespinsgaming [link] [comments]

[8/21/2020] - AlgoHoldem is Live!

**Note: If you are coming from an email the discord link may be broken. The one in this post should be fine (or just click here)
AlgoHoldem's range modeler is now live! Invites have been sent out. (If you haven't gotten one there is still a good chance more will be sent out in a second wave). Important information pertaining to the release below:
Release Info
1 - Most poker clients should be supported for hand history uploads. Check out our FAQ on the front page to find a list of all of them. If you are having trouble uploading a supported client please contact [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2 - If you haven't already join our discord! We are looking to form a small community for like minded users to learn, discuss, and add their input for the improvement of the software. I will actively be on there to listen to questions/feedback. Feel free to follow our twitter too if that's your thing.
3 - Expect a max latency of ~45 seconds (worst case) for loading a hand if you're not waiting in a queue. We realize this may not be ideal for a lot of people. We will be working hard on optimizing this in future updates.
4 - There are additional limitations as it pertains to the beta to the ones in this guide. See below:
  1. Models are currently only specific to stakes (low and mid) as there isn't enough data to confidently provide accurate analysis for modeling stakes + clients together. This is generally fine because stakes are a higher indicator of player tendencies compared to clients.
  2. Models are only trained on limited data that might not cover all situations fully. (30k hands for mid stakes and 15k for low stakes). One of the easiest way to see this is to look at raise tendencies on the river for hands that are the nuts (It will not be a full 100% raise like it should be). This will be eventually solved through more data; just keep note that river hands have a lot less training data than preflop hands (even more-so for nutted river hands which is why the above is happening)
  3. Most of the trained hands come from Zoom/Zone poker so the range assessments will be a little bit different when using it as a direct comparison to regular cash games. This will be solved with more data from different sources.
  4. Currently the range modeler evaluates 2 different bet ranges for raises/bets. Bets/Raises in between .3 and 1.2 pot should have sensible range outputs. Keep in mind that this is just a rough guideline and is no means applicable to all situations. In the future we are looking to support 4 different bet ranges (when we get more data of course).
  5. Currently only supports 6max cash. We will be looking to support different modes / tables sizes going into the future.
5 - Most of the above limitations are due to limited training data. If you would like to help out, feel free to donate hand histories in bulk! Contact [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) if you're interested. (Bovada hands are preferred but any hand histories will do).

And that's all! Enjoy the software! (and even more important; improving at poker!).
submitted by TheBackwardzShot to algoholdem [link] [comments]

Anyone else having ”system error” issues with Bovada right now?

It gives me a “system error” when I try to place basketball bets (tried college and NBA). I was able to place an NCAA Football bet. Anyone else having similar problems?
EDIT: appears to be working now
submitted by Joshuahuskers to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Which sportsbook should I use? Not which book, but how many?

Hey folks,
I've been a longtime lurker under the username hemegeah. My background is in economics and technology, but I've had a long history of being a successful-ish degenerate, from playing in the WSOP, placing over $900,000 in wagers so far this year in MLB and NFL (Average bet size is around $1500 for about 12% ROI), and having some success in Daily Fantasy as well (biggest win was $100,000 in NFL 2017, but other smaller first prizes as well in the $10,000-$50,000 range). I'm well aware this probably sounds like BS so I'm happy to verify to mods however they see fit.
As a US citizen, I have spent most of my time in the shadows due to regulatory and legal concerns, but with a path to legalization in the US, I would like to share insights/picks/whatever fellow sports bettors find useful for free. With legalization opening the floodgates, I believe the next logical step is democratizing profitable sports betting. I'd like to start with a longform piece I wrote demonstrating the value of price-shopping with books. Please provide feedback on whether this type of stuff is interesting, or if there's other info/insights you guys would be interested in!
Which Sportsbook Should I Use?
Not Which Book, But How Many
Which sportsbook should I use? Ignoring promotions put on by sportsbooks, the simple answer is: the book that charges the lowest vig. This makes sense: all things equal, over the long term, the book with the lowest vig holds the lowest percentage of your money.
However, this is the wrong question to ask. The right question is: how many sportsbooks should I use? Having multiple sportsbooks allows a bettor to shop for the best odds, similar to comparing prices across multiple stores when making a big purchase. Shopping for the best odds is one of the most important but least emphasized aspects of sports betting. In this article, we will demonstrate the importance of having multiple sportsbooks and how shopping for odds can have a profound impact on the returns of your sports betting portfolio.
Consider an example where a bettor bets $100/game on every MLB game during the period May 16-18, betting the money-line for the home team (the actual betting strategy and outcomes don’t matter but we will get to that).
Based on closing odds posted for these games, let’s examine what the returns would look like across six popular sportsbooks:
https://imgur.com/a/okLB2Lz
Our natural inclination may be to use a sportsbook like BetOnline or 5Dimes, which historically has been known to offer the lowest vig, while avoiding a sportsbook like Bovada, notorious for having a high vig. However, if we were to compare across multiple sportsbooks, choosing the best closing line, we can greatly improve our returns. This is what our returns would look like if we picked the best closing line across multiple books:
https://imgur.com/a/jzHkcru
Despite using the same betting example above, by shopping for the best closing line across multiple sportsbooks, a money-losing proposition has now turned into a winning one. While there are diminishing returns as you add additional sportsbooks, notice how the returns increase at every level of adding an additional sportsbook, demonstrating that even adding Bovada, the sportsbook with the highest vig, provides value when shopping for lines.
What does this all mean? Going back to our original thought experiment and looking at the bet outcomes in absolute terms, making $4,000 worth of bets with $100 bet sizes, the sportsbook with the lowest vig, BetOnline, loses $6.90. Shopping across all six sportsbooks listed generates a profit of $21.28. This is free money, the equivalent of 0.28 betting units generated out of thin air across only 40 betting units wagered. Using multiple sportsbooks to find the best price will always outperform using only one sportsbook, regardless of your betting strategy.
Let me know your guys' thoughts!
submitted by cleatstreet to sportsbook [link] [comments]

The 76th Annual Golden Globe Awards

Hello again everyone!! It is awards show season! For those of you who have been following along through the years I thank you for coming back. Huge thanks to the many of you who reached out by DM asking if I was going to do this again this year. It really feels good be able to contribute to this sub because despite our political, social, and economical differences we are all just here to help each other. sportsbook has been adding new members like crazy so if you are new here, Hi, I’m Kyle. I love Award Show props. Here are a few of my previous Golden Globes posts :
2018 5-1
2017 6-1
2016 3-5
2014 4-1
You may notice that I sometimes will take 2 nominees in the same category. These are prop bets so sometimes I will take the favorite and then a dark horse because there is ALWAYS a dark horse winner. ALWAYS. (Looking at you Black Panther). Other times the value for two nominees will be in our favor like +300 and +400. Taking a unit on both is a great way to have two fifths of the nominees in a category with a chance of positive units if either one wins. Also of course, a great way to lose an extra unit if we get hit with a bogey.
I do a ton of research, read a ton of blog posts, ‘who will win’ posts, etc. I compile the data into a spreadsheet giving point values to authors and commentators who I find have the best history of picks themselves. It’s not the prettiest spreadsheet and I know these posts are getting more popular year by year so next year I will be sure to include a link to a cleaned up version of my research.
I have taken my bets today at 7am PST so the odds above reflect that time. Odds are from BOVADA this year as they had the most props out of the books I use. I bet in $10 units with the exception of Lady Gaga this year. I have $250 on her (part of my Christmas bonus) so she’s going to personally make or break my night but my confidence level on her is 95%. Please follow or fade responsibly. I usually do fairly well but I do this for fun. I am going to be watching the show anyway, why not make it a little interesting right?
As always I will be back to live or die by my picks so feel free to head back here Sunday at 5pm PST to see how we do this year. Hopefully we can get a discord session going. Good luck everyone!
Best Motion Picture Drama
A Star Is Born -450
If Beale Street Could Talk +550
BlacKkKlansman +1100
Black Panther +1100
Bohemian Rhapsody +1600
The top category of the night seems like a no brainer but...I think am avoiding dropping the coin on ASIB simply because I really feel like Black PantheKlansman/Rhapsody are going to get a ton of votes and ASIB should already take multiple awards by this time. Beale Street was the Regina King show, period. I think she should win her category but the movie will not win this award.
I almost hate to even bet because I know in my heart that ASIB will probably take this but Black Panther winning this award seems like destiny. It WILL NOT get an Oscar nomination and the HFPA knows it. Giving them the statue would take and industry shot at the Academy and cement them as the hip award, the award you want to win because its prestigious AND fun. With that said, the producers of ASIB decided to skip the slam dunk awards they would have gotten if they went for comedy/musical. They feel this movie is so strong it can take the most prestigious award the HFPA has, and they’ve got a damn good shot at it. I’m going small on Black Panther but I wouldn’t recommend tailing unless you’re just looking to have a little fun.
My Bet – Black Panther .5u
Best Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy
Green Book +115
The Favorite +160
Vice +300
Mary Poppins Returns +1400
Crazy Rich Asians +2500
Great category with a lot of value all around. Every movie is a +115 or better for this category. You’ve got 4 “comedies” and one real musical here. This category had the most controversy on my spreadsheet and my gut says Vice. Ali is a real front-runner for supporting actor but IMO the movie itself fell flat. Vice is a star studded movie directed by Adam Mckay (The Big Short, which also won…) You know Adam Mckay from StepBrothers, Anchorman, Talledega Nights Etc. A second win for him would help anchor him as a leading director. The editing for Vice helps get them my vote here. Here’s hoping Green Book and Favorite split the votes.
NOTE : If Bovada allows live betting and Ali & Viggo win their awards I will be hammering Green Book to hedge and then some.
My bet – Vice 1u
Best Actor In A Motion Picture Drama
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) -300
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) +250
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate) +1400
John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman) +1800
Lucas Hedges (Boy Erased) +1800
My research actually has this muuuuch closer.
The value for Malek is really good here. My sheet has this almost dead split with Rami in a small lead (Cooper 42%, Malek 46%, everyone else a whopping 12%.) I tend to agree however. Cooper is really singing, he really learned to play the guitar, and honestly ASIB is a better showcase roll. John D Washington was remarkable in Klansman, he could absolutely steal this if Rami and Cooper split these votes. +250 is too good of a value to ignore for someone getting this much buzz so I am going to take Malek but this may be one to just leave alone.
My Bet – Rami Malek .5u
Best Actor In A Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy
Christian Bale (Vice) -170
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book) +185
Robert Redford (The Old Man & The Gun) +800
John C. Reilly (Stan & Ollie) +1600
Lin-Manuel Miranda (Mary Poppins Returns) +1600
Christian Bale seems too easy on this one. You guys know the rules, if you drastically change your body you get a huge boost in votes for an award. Viggo is amazing in Green Book but the movie really lacked in a lot of ways and I think that will bring his value down here. Ali will most likely take the supporting actor award and I would agree with that, Ali held that movie down. If I am wrong and Vice doesn’t take best comedy, I think this is the award they are handed. As mentioned before, at this time of night Ali will have already won or lost. If he has won and Viggo somehow takes this I would hammer down on Green Book if your book allows live betting.
My Bet – Christian Bale 2u
Best Actress In A Motion Picture Drama
Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)-250
Glenn Close (The Wife)+275
Nicole Kidman (Destroyer)+1100
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)+1200
Rosamund Pike (A Private War)+1400
I think this is the GaGa show. You guys remember when she won for American Horror Story and she had great speech that was overshadowed by Leo’s weird glance at her? The HFPA remembers. ..
Kidman's best roll this year was for A Boy Erased, I have no idea why they chose this other movie for her, throw her back in the ocean (Aquaman joke, nailed it). Mcarthy was actually really really good in her roll and in any other year she would get a small bet from me with those odds but on the real, Gaga is going to win. I really think -250 is a blessing because of the names she’s up against.
My Bet - Lady Gaga 25u
Best Actress In A Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy
Olivia Colman (The Favorite)-140
Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns)+150
Charlize Theron (Tully)+1200
Constance Wu (Crazy Rich Asians)+1200
Elsie Fisher (Eighth Grade)+1400
Constance Wu is my dark horse fav for the night. The HFPA would love to brag about giving an award to Wu. Theron is just nominated because they want her to be in the house, she will not get an Oscar nom. If you saw The Favorite then you probably know how great Colman was in her role. It’s hard to overlook her, she is the frontrunner for a reason. However, Emily Blunt is a really great Mary Poppins and theaters are selling out seats for her movie. Both Coleman and Blunt have Globes already, both for mini-series acting. I may avoid this category altogether however I will edit this post if I decide to bet. Leaning Blunt with a small bet on Wu.
Best Animated Motion Picture
Incredibles 2 +125
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse +150
Isle Of Dogs +300
Mirai +1800
Ralph Breaks The Internet +1800
This is surprisingly one of the hardest categories this year. Into The Spider-Verse is my #4 movie of the year. The art was beyond amazing, the humor was non-stop, and the action was paced perfectly. Let’s be real, there’s a Pixar juggernaut in the mix here so the smart move is probably to steer clear of this one. Isle of Dogs is getting a steady stream of buzz but nothing to suggest it would win. You know I am always a fan of betting on 2 nominees if they’re both in the +++ but +125 and +150 aren’t really a wide enough difference or big enough number. If Isle Of Dogs was not in the picture here I would probably go 2 units on Incredibles and Verse but theres too good of an outside chance that Dogs will swipe the rug out from under us. The safe bet is always with Pixar. I will update this with my final choice nearer to Sunday. If I have a whiskey driven evening I will probably hit Spider-Verse. Did you see Spider-Verse? See Spider-Verse.
Best Director
Alfonso Cuarón (Roma) -250
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) +275
Adam McKay (Vice) +1000
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) +1400
Peter Farrelly (Green Book) +1600
Alright I am actually writing this one last because it puzzles me. I can absolutely see the HFPA award Cooper for his first directing gig being such a hit. Sure it’s a story that’s proven to pull in crowds but he still nailed it. Not everyone loved the movie but no one hated it.
With that said, Cuaron is technically nominated for his foreign film. That’s pretty rare but with Netflix being the medium it was easy for them to get into the foreign category and get a free win. Like seriously Roma is a fantastic movie and the directing is great. The picture he paints with a limited canvas is absolutely captivating.
Adam Mckay should be more like +600. I am a little surprised to see him down so low however I think his movie will have already won best screenplay at this point and so losing this will be alright...he still gets to add those little icons to his DVD case.
My Bet - Cauron 1.25u
Best Foreign Language Motion Picture
Roma (Mexico) -600
Never Look Away (Germany)+650
Shoplifters (Japan)+800
Capernaum (Lebanon)+1800
Girl (Belgium)+1800
Cauron is the front-runner for best director for a reason. They chose to submit it for foreign language because it will totally win in the category. It’ll get an Oscar nomination and lose and then just hang out on your “yeah I’ll watch that eventually” list on your Netflix queue. Not worth betting imo so I am staying clear.
Best Supporting Actor In Any Motion Picture
Mahershala Ali (Green Book) -130
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +180
Timothée Chalamet (Beautiful Boy) +400
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) +2000
Sam Rockwell (Vice) +2500
Ali, all day. This is one of those categories that seems too easy. He really shines in Green Book. He was nominated before for his roll in Moonlight. He lost that night however the movie took home the biggest prize. I think he has a big career ahead and this could be a giant stepping stone. Side note, he is The Prowler in Spider-Verse and that was a damn fun character to watch.
My Bet – Ali 3u
Best Supporting Actress In Any Motion Picture
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) -250
Amy Adams (Vice) +235
Emma Stone (The Favorite) +1200
Claire Foy (First Man) +1400
Rachel Weisz (The Favorite) +2000
Regina King is nominated twice on Sunday. She may win both. Emma and Rachel are going to split a handful of votes and Claire Foy isn’t winning anything that isn’t related to The Crown. As the odds show this is going to come down to HFPA darling Amy Adams and ‘powerhouse finally hitting her stride’ Regina King. If you check her wikipedia youll see she has 13 nominations for this award from various academies, shes already won 9 of them, with 2 left to go. My only hesitation is that she may also win her TV award. You know how much back-patting the HFPA would like to give itself for giving an african-american actress a TV and Film award on the same night? I mean, think of the press they’d get.
Best Television Limited Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television
The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story -150
Sharp Objects +200
A Very English Scandal +400
Escape At Dannemora +2000
The Alienist +2000
You can thank Sharp Objects for being nominated because AOGV is going to win big this year. Not going to go over it too much because it’s a dull category but basically Sharp Objects is this years Big Little Lies but without all the hype or momentum.
My Bet – AOGV 4u
Best Television Series Drama
Killing Eve -170
Homecoming +200
The Americans +500
Pose +2000
Bodyguard +2500
Killing Eve was a really interesting show and I think Sandra Oh deserves a lot of praise but I really don’t see it winning this award. The Emmys already said no thanks. This is the 5th and final attempt at a Globe for The Americans and I think it has a real shot at this one. Matthew Rhys should take home his award in the acting category. Homecoming was a flash-in-the-pan show for Amazon but it had a shit load of flash. This is a 2 bet line for me.
My Bet Homecoming 1u + The Americans 1u
Best Television Series Musical Or Comedy
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel -175
The Kominsky Method+300
Barry +350
The Good Place +1800
Kidding +2000
I am completely torn on this category. I have a hard time believing Mrs Maisel should win again. It’s second season was arguably weaker than it’s first however it destroyed at the Globes and Emmys last year. I think Barry should be above The Kominsky Method, I feel the nomination here was to get the show’s stars in the seats. Full disclosure The Good Place is easily my favorite show of the bunch and the only major network for TV this year…and that’s nuts. My gut says stay away but there’s a chance I throw a half unit on Barry. It killed at the Emmys this year.
Thanks for reading everyone. Good luck on Sunday. Hopefully by then you’ve already had a great weekend of winning your NFL bets and are starting the new year off right!
EDITS :
SIB moved to -600, Gaga to -400.
AOGV to -220
Bale up to -200
Malek moved to +185
Spider-verse moved to -175! Should have jumped on it with the value
Roma is at -1200 now lol
FINAL PRESHOW EDIT :
I took sprider-verse for 1 unit at -175
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Blurryturtle's Wimbledon First Round Writeup

Halfway through the season anyone could use a break, and for those guys in the top of the rankings who’ve earned it, that break is the grasscourt season. Short volleys, a boost for everyone’s serving, appreciative crowds, and exhibition events that feature about the same effort level as the real tour events. With the awe-inspiring grind of the clay tour behind them, the tour’s finest will head to Wimbledon this week for a chance at making history. At this vaunted venue, even 1 match can be talked about for years and with the speed of the grass, upsets are never out of the question. Below are my thoughts about the 1st round of the men’s division.
Djokovic Kohlschreiber : Kohl managed to nab a win against Novak earlier this season in Indian Wells on a slow hardcourt. A couple weeks later he managed to steal a set in Monte Carlo on clay. The progression from favorable conditions to difficult ones continues, and while Kohl is the definition of a professional on the tour, this is one way traffic. I had a chance to watch some of Novak’s exhibition matches this past week, and while the best takeaway was how capable Shapovalov and Garin are on the swift stuff, Novak looked not only engaged but happy to be in contested rallies. If you watch a lot of great champions they are actually at their most engaged and highest level when they are being pressed, and this is revealing of how difficult it is to play at peak level against inferior opponents. Kohl’s W against Novak will keep his attention on the match, and where he struggled a bit in his comeback Novak’s serving game is nearing top level again (he has really been hitting his spots nicely). Novak is my pre-tournament pick for the title here, and I don’t think he drops a set here. Novak in 3.
Kudla Jaziri : Kudla has had a Mischa Zverev like start to 2019. He had to go through qualifying in some events and head to the challenger in Surbiton, but managed to string together some 7 wins through this grass season. Arguably his best surface, he has a great first round draw here in Jaziri, who has been struggling with injury and playing not only sparsely, but on clay at that. Two clay challengers and early exits have been on the menu, and rumblings of dealing with injuries lend to the idea that he probably is not at his peak for Wimbledon but of course cannot afford to pass up 1st rd points and pay in a major. With a big serve and a big forehand, Jaziri is a threat in any set of tennis, but these players are trending in opposite directions. Kudla in 4 at most.
Gulbis Mayer : Although this matchup sits in the Novak section, this is a tidy little spot for someone to steal some very important ranking points with the winner likely facing Hurkacz where they won’t be favored but will certainly have a chance. Gulbis has had 3 subpar losses to start his grass season, and Mayer hasn’t fared much better. The time Mayer tends to need to produce his groundstrokes will hurt him on the grass, and injury rumblings before the French Open coupled with his lack of activity make me think this is a great chance for Gulbis to steal a match and remain relevant on tour. Gulbis in 5.
Hurkacz Lajovic : Grass suits Hurkacz game nicely as he has a big serve and good reaction time on his groundstrokes. A fairly flat backhand moves nicely through the court and although he’s had middling results through the grass season, he’s shown more promise than Lajovic. One of the smaller players on tour with a less than dominant serve, Lajovic prospers primarily through precision and intelligence. That counts for something on grass but what will decide this match will be Hurkacz ability to hold serve with a great deal more ease. Hurkacz in 4.
Auger-Alliassime Pospisil : “Anything is Pospisil,” my friend says for the 400th time. “haha” I type for the 400th time. I am nothing if not loyal. If you watch Vasek Pospisil you think, This is a professional tennis player. Big serve, excellent skill, appears to be in top shape, but the results end there. Grass and the US Open will be his best chance to pick up some points, but this is a terrible first round draw for him. Perhaps injuries have hampered his rise on the tour in the past, but he has shown an impatience on court that speaks to a slight confidence issue in hanging with the top players. While they’re from the same country and this comfort can produce a higher level of tennis from the underdog, FAA’s current form on grass is not to be underestimated. Those saying he has a chance at the title are more hopeful than valid, but he is a favorite against anyone outside the top 30 in any round at this event. An easily repeatable serve, a great reach, and pure athleticism combine to form one of the best coached players I have seen enter the tour in a long time. Injuries cost him his big major debut at the French Open, but I expect him to be prepared for the big stage here and clean up a struggling Pospisil. The best thing I’ve seen from FAA has been the winners he hits to the open court. There are a lot of guys employing the “guide it to the spot and kinda cringe inward and hope” strategy, but this kid hits the ball with length and angle right through the court. This may cause an error here or there but in time (and he has it) it will produce a player whose standard shots are simply more aggressive and repeatable than his opponents. This is a future #1 barring injury. Given Vasek’s main strength is a big serve, he could hold his way to some tiebreakers, but the writing is on the wall. FAA in 4 at most.
Dimitrov Moutet : Dimitrov has yet to have a match this year that did not seem like it was primetime disaster popcorn status. Moutet is likely most known for his gutsy loss in the French to Londero, but he has turned heads this season on the challenger tour and while he’s not the most athletically blessed guy, he’s left handed and has a great deal of determination and confidence about going after his shots. Dimitrov has been know to play too passive and to lose his length, and this is a player who will steal a set if you let him. That loss of focus is an intangible, and so while Moutet will be waiting and hoping for it, Dimitrov SHOULD (big should) win this in 4 sets. With the winner facing FAA, I really am hoping that he does. Dimitrov in 4.
Sonego Gralloers : I glanced at the oddsmakers lines for this and noted that it’s a pickem. Granollers has all but vanished from the main tour this season, and Sonego’s game and stock has been on a constant rise. The expectation of fatigue following his win in Turkey this weekend could play a factor, and Granollers is a get artist who will extend any match. Sonego has the better serve, better forehand, and his backhand slice has proven quite annoying on grasscourts, and I expect fatigue to not be as much of a factor for a young player. Sonego in 5.
Umbert Monfils : Monfils has taken a nice vacation through the start of the grass season, and as stated in his contract, he must play at like one Frenchman in the first two rounds of a major. I haven’t heard injury rumors about him, and while his loss to Kudla is a little troubling I caught that match and he was mostly practicing and enjoying himself. There is a great deal to like about Ugo’s game. He’s a lefty, he has excellent control and poise, and a good enough service game to allow him to remain in the top 100 for a few years at least. Monfils is going to be able to counteract these positives here though, and while he hasn’t shown much determination through the first section of the grass season, for many guys at the peak or end of their career these are warmup events, and I expect Monfils A or B game is enough to get him through this match. Since they’re French and since it’s Monfils, you’re going to have to consider that a 4 or 5 set clash could ensue, so I would avoid betting on it, but Monfils should come through here with relative ease. Monfils in 4.
Medvedev Lorenzi : Lorenzi is the most annoying player on tour who no one should lose to. People do though, and his fight and skill at 37 steal him enough victories each year to keep him just around the 100-150 level. Medvedev is a player capable of the kind of anger and frustration that net Lorenzi most of his wins, but Medvedev in rage mode features no alterations in play and possibly even better serving than usual. This is oneway traffic. Medvedev in 3 incredibly drawn out sets.
Carreno Busta Popyrin : Oddsmakers have Popyrin as a favorite in this one and the reason is the consistency that PCB has shown to lose close matches since his return. He has been losing the first set in almost 75% of his matches since his return from injury and this is a crusher on a surface like grass where it is hard to manufacture breaks which are really where PCB has always made his money. I cannot count the number of times PCB was broken at the end of a set and broke right back. He showed some promise before losing to Sonego in Antalya but he just isn’t back to his peak yet. Popyrin is unproven on tour, and while he’s notched some wins here and there the best thing about his game is his game. Results aside, Popyrin is one of the best talents in terms of ceiling on an Australian roster that features nothing but young talent right now with Kyrgios/De MinauThompson/Bolt etc. This is a real test on a real stage for him as PCB does not give anything away and has a representative service game, and I’d be hard pressed to call a clear winner here. I do think that coming through qualifying will give Popyrin a decent amount of confidence, and that notion that “this guy may be vulnerable” is enough that if he’s able to nose ahead he could win this match. While PCB’s level hasn’t quite returned to 2017 2018 level, he is still the way more experienced player. I expect this to go 5 sets, with the winner being a coinflip. Popyrin in 5.
Chardy Klizan : Chardy has played some grass since the French and Klizan has not, seemingly, played at all. In a bo5 match Klizan may find his game and begin to pressure Chardy, but Chardy’s offense is such that he will likely already have a 1 or 2 set lead before this happens. I don’t see either guy getting blanked, and Chardy simply will be the more prepared player. Chardy in 4-5.
Klahn Goffin : Goffin is back, my friend announced recently. A former high level tennis player and a current pro announcer, his words were just what I’ve been waiting to hear. After an eye injury which seemingly reduced all aspects of his game for months, Goffin finally began to show good form in Hertogenbosh and Halle. Wins over Berretini, Zverev, and Hughes Herbert are the most notable for me, as these players all present defensive challenges that the old Goffin was apt to solve, and the recent Goffin has been apt to get rolled by. A fairly simple first round opponent in Klahn will not present much opposition, and while Goffin can make anything into a match, I believe he would have to throw this one to avoid finding himself in the second round. Goffin in 3.
Edmund Munar : Edmund began to show some excellent quality this week in his match against Evans. After not much of a season, and a first set where Evans showcased his entire variety in exchange for multiple breaks and multiple rounds of applause, Edmund again found a way to apply his forehand in a manner that breaks down his opponents mental game and turns them into defensive grinders. While he wasn’t able to find the cracks in Taylor Fritz game, playing on home soil against a clay court specialist should find him in the driver’s seat. Munar has actually shown more early in the grass season than I expected, holding serve enough to get to a tiebreaker against Fucsovics and Coric. That doesn’t offer much hope in terms of beating an in-form Edmund with the crowd at his back, however, and he will likely bow out and head to the hardcourt swing. Edmund in 3.
Majchrzak Verdasco : Verdasco had the good fortune to be part of Sam Querrey’s return from an ab injury, but still nabbed a set. This is notable for me because had he not shown a spark of competition, it would be easy to write him off here. Some may remember Majchrzak from his marathon match with Kei Nishikori at the AO 2019, where had he not succumbed to cramps he would have likely pulled the upset and already been on the main tour. Life is a struggle however, and while Majchrzak has spent the last few months on the challenger tour, he has been racking up wins and will be ready for this stage. A big serve and crisp groundstrokes make him best suited I believe for a fast hardcourt, but the grass could easily be his coming out party. He came through qualifying and while I’m sure Verdasco won’t be taking this lightly, he will have a hard time shutting the kid out. In a match that will largely be decided by whose offense makes more errors, we may see the first upset of the 1st round here. Verdasco is a guy who requires favorable conditions to compete, and on an outside court against a “random” I don’t think he will do much besides complain if Majchrzak begins to roll. Majchrzak in 4.
Arnaboldi Karlovic : I’ll be honest, I don’t know Arnold Arnaboldi. I don’t know if his first name is Arnold either, but it would be cute if it was, so it is. Having come through qualifying, I can guarantee he is a quality player with a fairly good ability to hold serve, and that’s enough to mean this match will feature tiebreakers. Who will win those tiebreakers? I have no flipping idea. Karlovic matches are the hardest to predict as until he throws in a bad service game he looks unbeatable, and once he’s in a volley it almost appears that he cannot play tennis at all. The grass suits his slices and volleys, and he would appear to be fresh after skipping the clay season and the grass. Karlovic in 4 or 5.
Fabbiano Tsitsipas : After a good week and a nice warmup match with Querrey, Fabbiano has drawn a terrible first round opponent. While he is coming off a loss to FAA, Tsitsipas is one of the best and most well-rounded players on tour right now and has the edge in their past matchups. Fabbiano is a threat for an upset and has pushed some guys in the past, but he’s been a bit unlucky here with the draw and this should be a bit more than he can handle. Tsitsipas in 4.
Anderson Herbert : Is Anderson back? Oddsmakers do not believe so, but also believe so. Anderson sits at -220 on Bovada and in what has been one of his best events in the past, this is a bit low. Herbert is one of the most skilled players on tour and is excellent at net, but his lack of power has at times kept him in matches he should have been able to win in quick fashion. Anderson looked unimpressive in his first match back from injury, and the jury is out on whether he is fully recovered, with a loss to Simon not really lending itself to believing that a deep run at Wimbledon is on the way. For gambling porpoises I would avoid this one, but as a spectator it is another intriguing story at an excellent event. Herbert has been on the edge of some big wins it has seemed at times, and a rusty Anderson may just be his chance to get one. Somebody in 5.
Tipsarevic Nishioka : What a wonderful draw where Thiem plays Querrey and these two get to ball out in the first round. Tipsarevic has made some traction in his return from injury, and Nishioka has made more. While Tipsarevic is a great player with good control and a ceiling higher than Nishioka, that ceiling is well behind him and Nishioka is a difficult player to put away. I expect shockingly long rallies for grasscourt tennis in this one, and I suspect Nishioka will come out ahead in way more of them than Tipsarevic. Nishioka in 4.
Seppi Jarry : A matchup of opposites. Seppi’s best surface. Jarry’s worst. Seppi’s controlled swing is short and allows him to adjust well in the grass. Jarry’s huge swing leads to all kinds of errors on his groundstrokes. Seppi’s strength is poise and consistency. Jarry wins 1 tournament a year and looks like a top 20 player then double faults his way to first round losses for 3 months. Seppi is towards the end of a bright career and his game is beginning to falter. Jarry is at the beginning of his and at probably his best. After a hard to watch loss to Simon a week ago it would be easy to write Jarry off here, but Seppi lacks the big weapons to put this one away in short order. This is another coinflip and given Jarry’s recent struggles I would not be surprised if Seppi wins. Seppi in 5.
Copil Pella : Marius Copil is a player much like Chardy who is simply a joy to watch. He has a huge serve, a great deal of variety, and a beautiful onehanded backhand. Pella is a player without much flair but with way better results. Primarily a claycourt threat, Pella has defied the odds and grinded through a great deal of hardcourt upsets in the past few seasons. This is a match where Copil should be seen as having the edge with court conditions, but the consistency of Pella will likely make the difference if he is able to make it a physical battle. Hard to say on a grass court if he’ll be able to, and Copil has been able to pull upsets in the past when he is serving well. Pella in 5.
Wawrinka Bemelmans : Scary. Bemelmans has just been a non-factor on the tour after being a consistent 1st 2nd round appearer for 2-3 solid years. Now he’s found his way nicely through qualifying, and plays a resurgent Stan. A bad matchup for Ruben, but a nice welcome back to the tour. Stan did lose to Mahut last week, but Mahut’s game was built for grass and going deep the week before a major has never been something the top guys have done. This should be one way traffic for Stan although given Bemelmans qualifying form, he may be able to steal an early set. Wawrinka in 4.
Stebe Opelka : Stebe’s comeback trail hasn’t really offered him many winnable matches. This could be one. Opelka is so inconsistent a veteran like Stebe might be able to hang around long enough to benefit from the errors, but on grass that becomes even less likely. Opelka has probably the best serve on tour when it lands in, and probably the worst service percentages for anyone above 6’5” on tour. When his serve lands in however, it is not coming back. Stebe is not a particularly gifted returner, and his only real chance here lies in Opelka’s poor returning. While it sounds like I’m painting a picture for Stebe to win, I’m mostly cringing at the thought of the match being on Opelka’s raquet. This is a match that will either be oneway traffic for Opelka, or will be lost by him rather than won by Stebe. Opelka in 4 but I wouldn’t put a single penny on it.
Kovalik Haase : Kovalik’s protected ranking has appeared with a very lucky draw. Haase has struggled of late and seems at the twilight of his career. There are not many first round matchups that Kovalik has a chance in, and the same can be said for Haase. Haase is going to have the bigger weapons here, and the rust has shown for Kovalik in the past few events. Haase in 4 or 5.
Gunneswaran Raonic : It’s hard not to like Prajnesh’ freeswinging left hand. He has a very smooth service motion and a good attitude on court. Raonic is on his best surface however, and while injuries have really made his 2019 a complete bust, this is a warmup match. Watching Raonic serve in the early rounds at Wimbledon makes you wonder how he hasn’t won the event before and watching Federer inevitably return almost every one of his serves at 36 makes you wonder what the other guys are doing. We’ll miss out on that matchup this year, but it’ll be someone other than Gunneswaran who makes returns. Raonic in 3.
Khachanov Kwon : I don’t know a ton about Kwon but Khachanov has been hit or miss all season. What I have noticed, however, is that he tends to step up for the big events. Given his ranking, and his relatively stable place on tour, this may be a conscious choice. Wins over Struff, Kecmanovic, and losses to Berretini do represent a significantly harder schedule however, than Kwon’s impressive (most sets won by 2 or more breaks) path through the qualfying. That kind of talent and his alltime high ranking of 123 mean he does have a chance to nab a set (Karen has a habit of losing a set in every match in majors) but he won’t be able to win this one outright. Khachanov in 4.
Giron Lopez : Lopez is easy to hate while you watch him lose and easy to love while you watch him win. The guy is skillful and creative. Grass is his best surface at this stage of his career by far and he has picked up a titles in both of the past two years. He opens his Wimbledon with a match against Giron who first turned heads in the Australian Open by upsetting Chardy and De Minaur at Indian Wells before eventually falling in the third set to Raonic. An athletic player with a good forehand and a quick serve, he’s a bit one dimensional and this may give a significant edge to Lopez. Breaks are hard to come by on grass and Lopez is one of the most proficient servers on the ol Earth hair. Giron’s game (I haven’t watched the qualifiers I’ll admit) is mostly about power and when he was rushed at IW he did make some careless errors. I think given his form in the qualifiers he will definitely win a set, but Lopez should have the edge if the match gets close with his variety and experience. Lopez in 4-5.
Darcis Zverev : Man if they aren’t trying to keep Mischa on tour. How the actual fluff did he manage to draw Darcis here. The problem is actually that Darcis has the kind of wicked slices and variety that are a nightmare to compete against on grass, but the fortunate thing is that he is getting towards the end of his career. This will come down to whether Mischa is able to get profitably to net, and honestly I am not optimistic. Whoever wins is going to get tuned up by RBA. I was a big fan of Darcis in his Fed Cup heroics, and I think he is probably in better form than Zverev here. Darcis in 5.
Gojowczyk Bautista Agut : This guy RBA is the NBA 6th man winner on the ATP. While not regarded as one of the top 10 guys, he is the same amount of difficult to beat every time he steps on court, and when those top 10 guys play him he pushes them as much as anyone else. On the opposite side of the net we have Gojowczyk, who swings like his name and hits clean flat winners from anywhere. Unfortunately, he doesn’t hit as many of them as he misses so far this season, and RBA specializes in punishing this. This match will play about the same as it would on clay, with RBA targetings Gojo’s backhand and hitting as many kick serve to take him out wide and off balance as he can. RBA in 3.
Paire Londero : Londero is adding nicely to his maiden win by notching wins and battling all the way into the grass season. Paire has been the best he ever has, and appears motivated coming into a tournament with a big emphasis on serving and volleying he is one of the shortlist of most talented players at the tactic. This is the classic Paire matchup, a guy who will fight for every point and expose Paire’s impatience, but who doesn’t have the big serving to keep Paire from dictating most of the rallies. If they both show up with frosted tips expect at least one awkward article from Tennis Channel about it, and this is similar to the Verdasco Majchrzak
match in that I do think Londero has a chance if he’s able to get an early lead. I don’t expect Paire’s intensity will be able to win this in straight sets, and I’ll be taking the over here. Paire in 5.
Carballes Baena Kecmanovic : RCB has actually notched some good grasscourt wins to start the season which is an unexpected bonus for a guy who makes most of his dollars on clay. Kecmanovic had a GREAT showing this week in Antalya and for one of the first times on tour will be facing a guy with less offense than him. I’m not sure of the fatigue factor, but given Kecmanovic’s dedication on the challenger tour I imagine his conditioning will get him through at least one or two more matches. Kecmanovic in 4.
Cuevas Dzumhur : Dzumhur finally got a nice win last week over Ebden, and has another chance here against a guy who isn’t famously the most motivated on grass. Cuevas didn’t look great against Jarry, and while I’d like to write him off here, Dzumhur lacks the big serve that Jarry possesses. Dzumhur in 4 tight sets, but I would not be surprised if Cuevas pushes this one to 5, and given Dzumhur’s erratic past, this one isn’t worth predicting.
Vesely Zverev : I love it. If Zverev shows up playing passive, he loses this one in straights. Vesely’s best upsets have come on grass, and he has come through qualifying easily. A big lefty with huge groundstrokes and a powerful serve is the perfect match to get a look at whether Zverev is going to be a threat in this section of the draw or not. I’ll be honest, I don’t suspect he will. Vesely in 4.
Thiem Querrey : Woof. Querrey announced this week that his abdominal issues are behind him, and played some of his best tennis. While a loss to Fritz is not the best, he has struggled with him in the past so it isn’t completely unexpected. Thiem is coming off a brilliant run in the French Open and while he was unfortunate with the weather and scheduling, there’s no shame in losing to Nadal. Grass hasn’t been his favorite surface, but he hasn’t really struggled on it either. A big serve, huge power, and a good base of skill and variety make Thiem a threat to any player at any time on any surface. Querrey is just the opponent, however, to pressure Thiem for time and to take the raquet out of his hand on the serve. With both guys playing at a good level, this one should feature quick sets, several tiebreakers, and a section of the draw that actually looks like it will get easier each round until at least the 4th with Garin/Rublev waiting and the other section featuring dellien/milman/andreozzi/djere. Whoever loses will be disappointed here as this is just the worst 1st round for both. Querrey in 5.
Garin Rublev : Garin looked real efficient and his movement was excellent in his exhibition match against Novak. He’s had a way better 2019 than Rublev who has struggled with injury. Where Rublev has bigger groundstrokes and can get in a great rhythm, he has suffered behind his second serve (double faults at the worst times), and his temper is simply a liability that I think he’s the only one who can’t see. Garin is composed, the better athlete, and in better form. Garin in 4.
Dellien Milman : Oddsmakers have Milman sitting at about -1200. Dellien has been playing clay challengers so this is understandable, but Milman is not the worldbeater that warrants that kind of line. Dellien is a grinder, and Milman is the same. I don’t know if Dellien’s timing will be solid here, and I actually would have liked him to get in some grass practice before the event rather than kind of sticking to his bread and butter. Milman in 3, but if Dellien gets going he could make this a very long 3.
Andreozzi Djere : Neither player has shown much in the way of victories thus far in the grass season. In their previous matchup Djere was able to best him on the slow hardcourts at Indian Wells. Djere is trending upward but grass isn’t exactly his best surface, so this won’t be oneway traffic. Andreozzi hasn’t exactly shown anything that shows he’ll pull the upset so. Tentatively, Djere in 4.
Simon Caruso : Ooooh. Caruso showcased a big forehand and a solid serve at the French, and used the same to good effect to come quickly through qualifying at Wimbledon. Simon managed to wake up after a mundane early season, and looked to be finding his form on the grass. This is one of my popcorn matches for the first round, with Simon being a real slick opponent on the grass but not really having a way to just hit Caruso off the court. On the opposite end, Caruso will need to hit big shots to get through Simon’s defense and will have the chance to. Somebody in 5.
Uchiyama Sandgren : Sandgren has really been hit or miss thus far on the tour. He briefly was very fit and looked to be stepping it up but the results didn’t follow. He notched two mid-level wins in Eastbourne, and while Ichiyama might be looked at as having a better level currently after coming through qualifying, 5 sets with Kubler isn’t really tour level stuff. Sandgren owns the h2h matchup 3-0 in this one, and I do think it’s a bit of a coinflip, but this has to be a mental battle for Uchiyama. I really don’t know who I expect to win this one.
Fucsovics Novak : Tough draws are Marton Fucsovics reward on tour for about two years now. This one is no different. Countryman Dennis Novak seems to only show up for majors, and with his power and crisp serving he is a danger to anyone in the first round. This one can’t go anything but the distance with Novak’s form a great threat but Fucsovics defense and fitness being just a job and a half to hit through. Whoever wins here I expect to beat the winner of Tiafoe and Fognini so i’m excited to find out and hopeful it’s Fuscovics as he’s primed for some major results with his game. Fucsovics in 4-5.
Tiafoe Fognini : Two guys who are sure they’re better than they are. Fognini hasn’t played since Rolan Garros and there’s a part of me that thinks he won’t be making much noise at this event. Tiafoe has been having a disappointing month but has at least been active despite his losses. Whoever wins will earn a war with Fuscovics or Novak and this pleases me. Tiafoe likely has the better chance and the higher level of motivation here. Tiafoe in 4.
Cilic Mannarino : Mannarino is so very capable on grass. His forehand dips so nicely and his serving game is light years better with the aid of the swift stuff. Cilic’s reach should give him the edge here, neutralizing this. Mannarino is working with smaller weapons and it will show here. Despite some disappointing results, Cilic is still a threat and a fairly consistent performer at most majors. Cilic in 4-5 unless his backhand is unable to find the court on returns.
Sousa Jubb : A great draw for Jubb who is making his debut at a major. A great draw for Sousa who isn’t at his best on grass but has been fighting and earning some good wins the past few weeks. Who wins? Probably not Jubb. Inexperience and Sousa’s ability to make matches a physical test are going to rob him of this opportunity, but qualifying as a teenager is simply an amazing accomplishment and given Sousa’s relatively weak backhand, there is a chance Jubb could steal a set. Sousa in 4.
Delbonis Evans : Evans is having the best grasscourt season of anyone. He has gotten in a ton of matches, has had some wars and his skill level is the best it ever has been. A lot of people have been tagging him as a dangerous floater for anyone in the draw, and this is where my opinion deviates. While he’s an excellent skilled player, Evans works with smaller weapons, and has to maintain top level in every match he plays. I don’t believe he’d be favored against most of the top 50, but I was hoping he’d get some winnable matches as his variety is very relaxing to watch. Enter Delbonis. One of the biggest swings on tour and one of the most consistently well performing guys on clay, grass is something he plays but without much success. This is the perfect matchup for Evans, and with Ward/Basilashvili waiting there is a chance Evans can make a third round and get himself some valuable points he will need heading into a very difficult hardcourt season. Evans in 3.
Ward Basilashvili : Basilashvili hits one of the hardest balls on tour, and has to be favored in this match. Ward, however has some nice wins over Kudla/Karlovic/Stakhovsky this season which show he at least will be competitive in this match. Although Basilashvili lost to Fucsovics and Berretini, he represents a step up in level for Ward and it may be the end of the road here for the hometown favorite. Basilashvili in 4.
Shapovalov Berankis : Shap looked good in his exhibition against Novak and this is an ideal first round opponent for him. Berankis will be hard pressed to earn break points against Shap’s offense and Berankis profits mostly from his power and Shap’s defense will be able to negate that. Shapovalov in 4.
Tomic Tsonga : A lot of people were upset with his loss to PCB but Tomic has been trying at tennis and that, my friends, is a miracle. I expect him to try here too and to make this loss respectable. On the other side of the net Tsonga has a bigger serve, better fitness, and the lowest percentage running one handed forehand pass in the game. Tsonga Shap 2nd round should be entertaining. Tsonga in 3 or 4.
Kyrgios Thompson : The mental battle of the year for Kyrgios. Thompson will work hard and make Kyrgios do the same if he wants to win. Will Kyrgios engage and fight and “stoop” to Thompson’s level to get the work done? I haven’t seen anything to indicate that he is capable of that level of fight. I think if Thompson can stay tight in his service games, Kyrgios will get impatient and make an early exit. Kyrgios’ body with someone else’s brain could win Wimbledon, but all his antics and all his injury faking and all his talking to the crowd are just the actions of someone who is scared to try. Scared to find out how good he really is. Scared to care. Less tools, but all Thompson does is care and try. Thompson in 4 depressing sets.
Sugita Nadal : Shame Sugita did not draw someone else as he is a pretty solid grasscourt player. Nadal has bitched and moaned about the seeding and kinda ruined any chance of me cheering for him here, but this should be over in straight sets. Nadal in 3.
Nishikori Monteiro : Good warmup match for Kei and while Monteiro is a dangerous lefty, Nishikori’s backhand neutralizes the crosscourt forehand. This won’t be as simple as Kei in straights for the simple reason that his serve is semi-useless so far this season, but he should be able to get the win because Monteiro just isn’t the offensive terror that can hit Kei off the court. Kei in 3-4.
Istomin Norrie : For a big serve, Istomin’s grass season has been fairly disappointing. Expect that to continue here with the hometown favorite Norrie playing his scrappy game to good effect. A loss to Rosol and Jubb don’t inspire hope in Istomin having the serving together to beat a player on the rise like Norrie. Norrie in 3-4.
Johnson Ramos-Vinols : Johnson has a good chance to get some ranking points here. ARV isn’t much on the grass and hasn’t been that strong at all in 2019. A good serving performance has bolstered Johnson’s confidence in his last few outings and he should roll here. If the writeups seem like they’re getting shorter it’s because omg there are a lot of matches in this tournament. Johnson in 3.
Cecchinato De Minaur : De Minaur season is fast approaching as we get this silly dirt and grass behind us, and while this one on paper should be a lock for De Minaur, he had a disappointing loss to Bedene who is a great grasscourt player but a guy you should be putting away if you want to be considered a “lock.” Still, Cecchinato’s best result on the grass swing has been only coughing up one break per set against Hurkacz, and this will be one way traffic as ADM is unlikely to give up the momentum once he gets it. De Minaur in 4 but probably 3.
Struff Albot : Everybody’s adorable favorite Albot cannot seem to avoid Struff these days. On hardcourt, this is a closer test. On grass, the edge in power and serve favors Struff too much for Albot to do much more than take a set. Struff in 4.
Fritz Berdych : Another great popcorn match. With Berdych having taken much of the past few months off, it’s hard to guess what to expect here. Oddsmakers notched Fritz at -170, and this is a nod to his only real result of the year, which is his title in Eastbourne. Honestly, I would expect his run to continue, but if Berdych is healthy, this will be an epic contest. Fritz in 4 or Berdych in 5.
Andujar Kukushkin : Kukushkin will have too much variety and experience here for Andujar to have a shot at winning this. A claycourt specialist, dont expect much in the way of results from Andujar for the rest of the year. Kukushkin in 3.
Ruud Isner : Isner published one of the most awkward comments of the year this week stating that if he lost in the first round he would go home a net loser. Travelling with his family, a team of coaches, a doctor, and being able to shell out for a house within walking distance of Wimbledon is a beautiful thing and something to be thankful for, not a burden to be pointed out in the media. Playing professional tennis is a blessing, not something to be negotiated at the ol dollar table. Besides, Isner is not going to lose first round. Ruud should make it to a few tiebreakers, but Isner’s serve at Wimbledon is something that will carry him through most matches and the first round is something (barring a secret injury) that he should not experience any fatigue for. Isner in 4.
Berretini Bedene : One of the bright points of this season has been Matteo (win every single close match) Berretini. Simply put, the kid does not blink. With Baghdatis likely waiting in the second round I do expect Berretini to make a nice run here, and it will start with a good grasscourter in Bedene but a guy who traditionally does not beat the top 20-30 guys. Berretini in 3.
Schnur Baghdatis : In what may be his last Wimbledon, Baghdatis has been lucky enough to draw lucky loser Brayden Schnur. I predicted Marcos would be finding his way off the tour a season ago, but he surprised me with his ability to win matches and his exceptionally solid backhand. A quick warmup with FAA last week, and Marcos looks to make at least the second round here against Schnur who has shown promise on the hardcourt but no real results to suggest he will win this one. Baghdatis in 4.
Koepfer Krajinovic : Oddsmakers have this as a pickem and these are two very different men entering this contest. Koepfer plays mostly on the challenger level, but is coming off a grasscourt title in his last outing. Krajinovic hangs with some of the top guys on tour, but hasn’t played since the French Open. I admit I’m not very familiar with Koepfer’s game but it looks like he is the favorite here. Perhaps Kraj is injured or perhaps Koepfer is that good. I am excited for the latter and will be watching this one for sure. No pick.
Ebden Schwartzman : Diego isn’t much on grass. Ebden is just having a terrible season. Grass is traditionally Ebden’s best surface but he hasn’t done much this year, and there’s no reason to think that it will start now. Diego in 3-4.
Pouille Gasquet : As per contract all French players must play each other in every event, or maybe there are just so many of them that this happens? I don’t like this matchup. Gasquet is excellent on grass and while he’s at the middle/tailend of his career, I would love to see him playing towards the end of the first week. Pouille is a great talent and I love his aggression on the court. This is a tough match to call and when I peek and see J Clarke playing Noah Rubin and Bublik playing Barrerre below them, I kinda cringe. Pouille likely has the edge in form and Gasquet the edge on this surface, but it will be hard for either of these guys to put the other away quickly. Somebody french in 5 (probably Pouille).
Bublik Barrere : I’m still waiting for Bubliks talent to match his mental game but it’s starting to materialize. Barrere is a solid talent and has qualified at a few majors already. Bublik leads the h2h with the one win coming by narrow margin (7-6, 7-5) in 2019 but also has been playing better comp so far on the grass. A 5 set win over Liam Broady will give Barrere confidence but may indicate that his level is not quite what it is on clay. Bublik in 5ish.
Clarke Rubin : idc
Harris Federer : Federer in 3.
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Considering switching from bookie to online site

I am considering ditching my bookie to move to an online site such as Bovada, FanDuel etc. I want more lines / games to bet on and I believe some of the platforms are better for tracking bets etc.
My main questions are:
  1. How easy is it to withdraw winnings? How quickly do they hit your account? I have heard mixed reviews of how easy it is to collect from the online books.
  2. Are there tax considerations?
  3. Are there certain sites with shady history of pay outs that I should for sure avoid?
Thanks..
submitted by luhloyd to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

Bet tracking\syncing\history

I'm looking for a sportsbook that gives great detail of history of bets, win\loss, ROI, etc..
I would really like to avoid 3rd party bet tracking, so I'm looking for a book that has all that built-in.
BUUUT if there is a tool that automatically tracks and adds bets from say, Bovada, then that will work too.
All suggestions are appreciated! Thank you!
submitted by SeedBoxer to sportsbook [link] [comments]

French Open Round 3

Djokovic Caruso : I’m glad Caruso goes after his forehands, as it will be his only chance to win volleys here. Djokovic has been casually dismissing everyone thus far, and although he took some events off (refusing to do the work against Kohl, RBA, and Medvedev) his level in Madrid made it seem like only a fresh Dominic Thiem could really trouble him. There though was Nadal to make him look like fatigue could be an issue and while his early run has been immaculate the jury is still out. This is a Djokovic who looks like he cannot lose until he randomly does and leaves us all scratching our heads. This isn’t the round for it though and while I’d like to say Caruso’s stellar play will make him competitive having hit through Munar and Simon, it’s just impossible to guess how many game that will net him against Djokovic and the price on Djokovic will generally be a silly one not worth taking.
Struff Coric : A who’s who of who cares. I apologize but this is one of the more boring matchups on tour. Struff did well to fight off a scrappy Radu Albot and now he’s playing Radu Albot with top 20 talent. This will be an excellent match but watching it will be watching the same exact volleys play out 300 times over the course of 2-3 hours. Struff has the bigger serve, has the bigger wins on clay this season, but the format and the matches thus far favor Coric as he hasn’t worked terribly hard but desperately wants to. Coric sits as a -250 favorite which really lends itself to taking Struff but honestly he should have been dominant against Albot and really found himself unable to take control of the match. Add in that Coric gave him the absolute beats last year in Madrid and you start to think that this could be where Struff makes his exit. For a guy with a big serve, big forehand, and big wins he just doesn’t get deep in events and a lot of his losses have been to guys willing to grind it out. Coric unfortunately only wins that way. He doesn’t hit a lot of aces, he doesn’t hit you off the court, his forehand can disappear though it does so less this season than last, and simply put that fight for every point mindset leaves a player tense and this can lead to errors when the point is finally “earned.” The line is set perfectly, and there’s no clear winner here except Djokovic against whoever wins.
Fognini Bautista Agut : Fognini has been balling, and RBA seems to have stepped it up a level for the French reversing a poor result against Fritz in convincing fashion. The hole in Fognini’s game has always been his self-consciousness but he hasn’t thrown in the towel in a match this clay season losing only to Tsitsipas and Thiem which is really expected. The H2H is in Fognini’s favor but I would skip reviewing all of that for this match as they are both playing at a high level. Fogs errors against RBA’s susceptibility on serve is basically the question here and the books have called it a pickem which leads me to lean more towards RBA. Fogs has dropped a set in both matches so far so you expect RBA to win at least one. Given his consistency and defense you start to expect that he’ll be able to pick up a second set (one earned and one given). Get a guy like Fognini on neutral terms having dropped two sets and you really don’t expect him to go into a 5th ready to beat a guy who competes like RBA. At the end of it Fognini could lose in 4 but RBA is guaranteed to get to a 4th. This is the kind of match where 2018 me bet on RBA and the over but in 2019 I just lay in bed and watch two amazing players fight it out and bet on better things.
Lajovic Zverev : I announced on insider (sports agent world) info that something was up with Zverev. I was wary of his physical condition after a long week but he was really crushing the ball today against Ymer, Now a tougher match as Lajovic doesn’t cough up the errors and moves the ball nicely around a clay court. The problem really is Dusan doesn’t have the serving game to keep Zverev from returning most serves, and the cheap errors that Zverev was coughing up on the forehand side have kind of disappeared. He is still working entirely too hard for his points, but his opponents now are also. Zverev has a tendency to serve with power but right to his opponents, but the one handed backhand is not the best tool for punishing that given the takeback necessary, and I believe Zverev will start most of his points on serve in control. This contest is simple; Zverev will have to cough up errors and become frustrated to lose, and while Dusan is a very intelligent player, he doesn’t have the weapons to win on his own. Zverev is one of my least favorite players to bet on but simply put this is his match to lose so I will be backing him here (most likely parlayed with Monfils or Delpo)
Thiem Cuevas : Hell yeah. Cuevas can ball, and Thiem is my pick to win the tournament despite being awarded the toughest draw. The problem here is I backed Cuevas in the past in a match against Thiem since he has such variety, skill, and can play all day. What I saw in that match is what I expect tomorrow and that is that they play a very similar game. Cuevas’ backhand hits not quite as hard. Cuevas’ forehand hits not quite as hard. Cuevas’ serve is not quite as big. Where he does have an edge is in fluid skill as Thiem is somewhat rigid and tends not to adjust his swings when he’s pressured which results in backhands long and serve returns sailed long. Cuevas has a great deal of variety but doesn’t really hit through anyone so this shouldn’t come into play too much. I expect Cuevas to take a set as Paul and Bublik have and he is just a threat in a 2/3 match against anyone but Thiem should win this and set up another disgustingly complicated match against his next opponent Monfils.
Hoang Monfils : Dzumhur’s not lookin so bad now. Hoang is notching some of his first high profile wins on tour on a very unexpected surface and on a big stage. A promising indoor player, Hoang has knocked off Dzumhur and Verdasco, the second of the two being the big surprise. I would have guessed that he would have lost both but here we stand. Monfils went ahead and showed that his “go 5 sets with all french players” days are over after drubbing Mannarino in the last round. He’s injury free at the moment, seems to be playing hard, and the Svitolina days seem to have brought out his best tennis. Hoang I haven’t watched much of but he should be able to hold serve for as long as his 1st serve lands, so it’s tough to say if Monfils wins in 3 or 4 but this would be the type of loss that would vault Hoang to stardom and crush really any positives about Monfils’ season so I’ll be on the expected side of history and back Monfils here.
Khachanov vs Mystery Opponent : Khach hasn’t really blinked this event but he hasn’t played anyone dangerous yet. If Pouille comes through they should play 4 or 5 really good sets of 1 break tennis. If Klizan emerges I would expect a tougher match to predict in terms of outcome because he seems in quality form and Khachanov can cough up some breaks given the power and depth he tries to routinely hit with but I would expect Klizan’s backhand to break down way before he hits enough winners to beat a top 10 level player like Khach and I expect his quiet run to continue to set up a clash with Delpo.
Delpo Thompson : Jordan MFin Thompson. Grinds out Fokina, cleans up Ivo. Now only a +250 dog against Delpo? I watched the Nishioka match, where Delpo looked just as exhausted as he does in every other match that he eventually wins. I also saw him absolutely crushing his backhand and hitting with incredible length. The line scares me. Thompson is not the mover of the ball that Nishioka is. The lefty’s ability to hit into the backhand is an extremely neutralizing weapon in most matches and Thompson Nishioka is a 5 setter every time but Thompson is a righty and a lot of what he does different from Nishioka is slice defensive returns which gives Delpo time to breathe, time to set, and just absurd control of the rally given that he can hit the inside out forehand into Thompson’s backhand. The line is creepy but if Delpo is injured (I saw his knee wrapped) or if tomorrow you tell me I lost my money because Jordan Thompson beat Delpo well fuck here is my money today, tomorrow, the next day, and forever because those type of results are simply not on his resume yet.
Tsitsipas Krajinovic : Tsitsipas has proven himself to be legit. He is a top 10 player and a threat against anyone. He has brilliant variety, plays comfortably on the court, and his serve is there when he needs it. Praise is not enough to win matches though, and Krajinovic will test him here. Clay is his best surface, he’s having a solid tournament, and they’ve never played before. That being said, this is the type of win that Kraj has not really put together, and 5 sets with Carballes Baena who doesn’t boast the weapons and certainly not the serve that Tsitsipas has means that this should be over in 4. I expect the Federer Tsitsipas matchup, and this just isn’t the matchup to spoil it.
Warinka Dimitrov : Woof. Wawrinka beat Garin like he did something. Dimitrov played the best tennis he has in two years in the final set against Cilic. This is simply who plays the big points better. Wawrinka opened as a -300 favorite which seems high given his track record so far this season, but the Garin match really included 0 bullshit, 0 slices, and just nonstop crushing of the tennis ball from him. Dimitrov is a superb defender and seems to rise to the level of his opponents, but with both guys really having exhibited 1 high level match so far this event/season, it’s hard to really predict anything here. I’d say Wawrinka has the edge, and there good “value” in Dimitrov, but what I’d really say is they capped this one perfect and it’s best to skip it.
Mahut Mayer : Fuck. Fucking fuck. Well played Mahut you nutter butter. His run may not be out of nowhere but my bumass certainly did not expect it. I fully expect him to announce his retirement in a speech when he finally loses, and I may wise up and stop betting against him, but Mayer played excellent against Diego, and I don’t expect the same type of fatigue/shrugging that Kohl exhibited. Tbh my thoughts on a Mahut match are simply garbage at this point, and there’s no way for me to say my head is clear so I’ll just kick back and watch this one.
Ruud Federer : I’ve had a bad history of trying to predict Federer’s eventual ruin. He always seems like he’s losing his mobility. His forehand’s going away. His back hurts. Simply put this guy plays tennis on another level. Novak can win 100 more majors and no one will repeat the simple yet beautiful style that Federer exhibits on the court. Ruud is crushing the ball this tournament, and is coming off an excellent and surprising straight sets win against Berretini. I would love to see him push Roger here but I wouldn’t bet on it. Given the inflated odds I really wouldn’t back Federer either. This is a popcorn match that I think will produce a Fed win in 4.
Nishikori Djere : I’ve missed every Kei match this event and it’s unfortunate as now he’s playing a guy whose form and attitude could allow him to produce an upset. The odds are adorable -400 for Kei and that’s probably fair. He dismissed Tsonga in front of a home crowd, he’s a consistent top 10 player, and clay doesn’t exactly hurt his game. When Nishi is on you wonder how he doesn’t win every tournament, and when Nishi is off it’s mostly due to extremely hot weather or an injury. I would like Djere to acquit himself here but I’ll be skipping it and expecting Kei to win a very very very long match as Djere hits big and doesn’t miss. If I had to call an upset, this is where I would.
Carreno Busta Paire : 5 of the most spectacularly skillful and creative sets of tennis you’ll see this event produced Benoit Paire into the 3rd round. PCB and Paire play each other pretty much every event, and there are enough random results in their past to convince you that either player has the edge. This matchup is particularly interesting, as PCB basically faced break points in every service game when they played in Barcelona earlier this year, but really did threaten to steal the match after winning a 2nd set tiebreaker. Going into the third it looked like PCB was back and Paire would return to the plucky but angry 2nd round loser, but he rolled for a 6-1 win. Paire has not stopped since picking up at least 1 challenger title and scalping a ton of solid players on the dirt. Here’s where it gets interesting. PCB basically lost every match after his comeback, and now looks like an entirely different player. As a guy who has excellent runs in pretty much every major he’s played in the past two years, this has oddsmakers opening the match as a pickem, and PCB racing up to -180 when last I checked Bovada. The holes in Paire’s game are fewer than normal these days, but his forehand is one of them, and errors in bunches are the other. His backhand and serve will be the biggest weapons on court, but PCB is the right guy to reflect that power and his length can keep Paire away from the net where he excels. It’s hard to speak to a player’s conditioning but that was an extremely emotional win against Herbert and there’s a good chance that Paire will not be able to escape this one. Bought my mom a house, spent the rest on PCB.
Londero Moutet : But I thought these guys lost first round? Moutet scored a brilliant win against Pella, and Londero printed money for basically half the internet in his last match against Gasquet. Unfortunately, I haven’t seen a single match of either of them, so I’ll admit I’m not much help here. Londero has a really impressive top gear as seen in his title run, but Moutet has the much more impressive victories thus far. I don’t really think Londero should be more than a 2:1 favorite but he is, and I don’t have a good enough reason to wager either way. I expect the over here with both players having a lot on the line and being in basically their best form ever on tour.
Goffin Nadal : Rough one for Goffin who people have indicated is back in top form. Clay just doesn’t let him hit through the court, and while Nadal has been vulnerable this season I don’t expect Goffin will be able to produce the winners that the guys who’ve beat him can. Like a Schwartzman Nadal clash this one will produce a lot of ooh’s and aah’s but there will only be one winner, and he'll be fixing his hair and tugging his butt all the way to the finish line.

Edit : I don't like to recommend betting on women's matches, but Ash Barty over Petkovic should be going in most of your parlays.
submitted by blurryturtle to tennis [link] [comments]

Best Bets for Rookie of the Year

The NBA rookie of the year award has spotlighted some of the greatest players ever to enter the league. I wanted to take a look at the odds on favorites to win the award and some sleepers who could surprise next season. The ROTY isn’t always the future star of the class: LeBron (2004), Chris Paul (2006), or Durant (2008). Oftentimes, the Rookie of the Year is an older player who is ready to contribute right away: Malcolm Brogdon (2017), Damian Lillard (2013), or Ben Simmons (2018). More often than not, the Rookie of the Year is given to the player with the highest number of combined counting stats per game. So this ranking isn’t who I think will be the best rookie down the road, or even the rookie that will be the best player next year, it’s more about who will put up the most impressive stat line next season.
The Favorite: Zion Williamson (-135)
Zion will be in a favorable situation next season in New Orleans, starting at the four on a team that will probably start 3 other good to great playmakers. Zion will at worst be the number three option as far as scoring goes. The spacing-wise, it won’t be great, but it can only go up from the clogged paint that Williamson dominated at Duke. Zion is a skilled rebounder and passer already, I wouldn’t be surprised if Zion led the team in rebounding year one. Despite being the favorite by a large margin, smart money would be put on Zion.
Stat Projection: 15/8/3
The Lead Challengers: Ja Morant (+300)
Ja should be the lead challenger to Zion’s ROTY candidacy. Ja will be handed the keys to Memphis’ offense from day one. Flanked by a sweet shooting second year big in JJJ and a newly inked Jonas Valanciunas, Morant will be able to show off his passing chops to two great play finishers. Rookie point guards notoriously have a hard time contributing to winning when first joining the league, but scoring inefficiency, turnover problems, and defensive deficiencies usually are overlooked when the player is putting up big scoring and assist numbers. Ja is a talented passer, not quite as good as Trae Young, but in the same stratosphere, and he should throw down some highlight dunks his rookie year. Morant isn’t going to necessarily surprise anyone if he wins, but there’s a reason he has longer odds than Zion.
Stat Projection: 15/4/7
RJ Barrett (+550)
RJ Barrett was the number 1 recruit entering last college basketball season; despite having a historic first season at Duke, he has definitely soured in a lot of NBA people’s eyes. Barrett is still a talented scorer, especially when he gets going downhill. A lot of the negative press got at Duke was due to his tunnel vision, despite this, Barrett is a talented passer with good vision. Although the Knicks famously missed on all of their marquee free agency targets, it doesn’t seem like Barrett is going to be the number one option entering the 2019-20 season. Barrett may not even start on the wing with Knox and Morris at the 3 and Dotson, Bullock, Ellington and Trier all looking for minutes at the 2. I expect Barrett will find his way into the starting lineup once the Knicks’ playoff aspirations are squashed. Even then, Barrett will have to compete for shots not the most pass happy group. I could see Barrett putting up good numbers once the keys are handed to him, I’m just not sure when that will be.
Stat Projection: 14/5/3
Dark Horses: Jarrett Culver (+2500)
Culver may not be a starter day 1 for Minnesota, but he will likely be the first player off the bench and have the ball in his hands often once he’s in the game. Culver played a de facto point guard role last year in Lubbock, where he was able to show off his passing ability. If Culver does manage to find his way into Minnesota’s starting 5, he could be a good bet.
Stat Projection: 10/4/3
Darius Garland (+1800)
The fit with Garland next to Sexton is a peculiar one. Neither Sexton nor Garland is known for their passing chops, so there will definitely be some growing pains. Sexton surprised most people around the league with his ability to hit the three at a good rate; Garland is coming into the league with the reputation as a shooter already. If Garland comes out of the gates putting up big scoring numbers, look for him to be an early favorite for the award.
Stat Projections: 14/2/4
PJ Washington (+10000)
PJ is a long shot. He’s not necessarily a ceiling play, but more of a floor one. PJ was one of my favorite mid-first prospects entering the draft and he got drafted a lot higher than I expected. He isn’t slotted to start at the 4 in Charlotte, that looks to be Marvin Williams, but I could see him (Williams) being moved for salary dumps and picks. PJ is a good defender, solid shooter, and may surprise some people with his 1-on-1 scoring ability. If he can get consistent minutes in Charlotte, and other top picks disappoint for whatever reason, Washington could be a shocker for ROTY.
Stat Projection: 11/6/2
Players I like with no available odds: Brandon Clarke looks like a good fit next to Jaren Jackson Jr. in the long term, but he doesn’t have a direct path to a great deal of playing time his rookie year. I also like Carsen Edwards, an electric scorer that should thrive in Brad Stevens’ offense. Without an obvious backup PG in Boston, Edwards should get steady playing time and is an injury away from substantial minutes. Nicolo Melli turns 29 this season, and provides a stretch big option that the Pelicans desperately need.
The reason why I dislike certain high odd players: Michael Porter (+1800) has a horrifying injury history that just scares me away from this talented player. Coby White (+1800) is a rookie point guard on a team with supposed playoff aspirations, with the addition of Tomas Satoransky, White doesn’t have a direct line to more than 20 minutes per game. DeAndre Hunter (+2500) will probably start at forward for the Hawks, but most of his value will be derived from his ability as a defender. Rui Hachimura (+2500) I’m not a huge fan of Hachimura’s game, but I don’t think he’ll add much outside of his scoring.
All odds are accurate as of August 24th from Bovada
submitted by Davidson30 to nba [link] [comments]

Justin Kuraitis - Tools of the Trade for a Better Poker Game

Want to up the ante when it comes to your online poker game play? If you think you need a little bit of help to improve your game play, you will be happy to know that there are several game-boosting tools you can rely on.
Poker Equity Calculator
No, it's not time to dig out your old calculator from high school - the poker equity calculator is specially designed software that helps calculate the odds of a game. You can even use a poker equity calculator to find out how big a prize (in terms of chips) each player should win on an average. Justin Kuraitis also helps you determine whether you ought to fold more or continue playing, depending on the type of poker game. However, it is important not to rely too much on this tool because some of these poker calculators assume that players are all equal in skill level and do not consider the position as well as the size of the blinds.
Poker Coach
If you want a more in-depth type of analysis with guidance, then you can probably consider getting a poker coach to help you improve your gameplay. A poker coach provides step-by-step advice for all the plays and streets you find yourself in. Some analysis that is included in a poker coach tool is a player identification, which displays several archetypes that was formed on data from betting patterns, known hands and statistics. It alerts you when you unknowingly risk a lot of money and teaches you how to be adaptive to match the betting patterns of your opponents. These are just some of the things that a poker coach can do for you.
Other Poker Software
In addition to these two, you can also consider looking at different kinds of poker software to further help enhance your game play. Justin Kuraitis says the kind of software that you can get will usually depend on what type of poker game you play and what aspect (or assistance) you need in that particular game. For example, if your game of choice is Bovada poker then you will surely benefit from poker software that imports hand histories in a database. Such information will be very important in being able to review your stats, hands and monitor your progress and know how that information can be converted and imported to other types of game plays.
Another example would be if you want to know if there are any recurring mistakes that you unknowingly make that end up costing you a lot, then you will surely want to get a poker software that alerts you to this and thus prevent you from further shrinking your bankroll. A poker analysis software like this will take not only alert you of your mistakes but also help develop new winning strategies for you to try in your next games.
submitted by justinkuraitis to u/justinkuraitis [link] [comments]

French Open Quarterfinals

Getting to the business end of what has been one of the best French Open's in history.

Djokovic Zverev : Djokovic and Zverev have enjoyed a nice draw similar to one you’d see in a 250 on their path to the quarters. You can’t fault them however and both should be fresh for this matchup. Novak has looked exceptional and while their h2h sits at 2-2 even with the 1 clay match going to Zverev, Novak was a different player in most of those matches than he is today. Zverev has struggled with some mid-range talent on his way here and Djokovic has not blinked. If Struff plays Zverev tomorrow you have a tough prediction. The intangibles here are that Djokovic has not really played anyone whose game presented a difficult problem for Novak, and Zverev has a habit of rising to the occasion against him, all instances relatively coming out of nowhere also as a usual heavy betting underdog. That being said, I think without a Djokovic implosion Zverev is not going to have the weapons to score given his current affinity for living behind the baseline. Djokovic in 3 or 4 if he’s human.
Thiem Khachanov : Thiem looked downright excellent today. Monfils did not play poorly and did not give up, in fact when he did start playing dropshots he hit them with good efficiency but this is a different Dominic Thiem. His power looks effortless and while in the past if you really made the extra return against him and pressured him sometimes he would look as if he had dropped focus or force an error, he is now simply moving the ball around the court nonstop and the backhand looks as good as it has ever looked. You just don’t see Monfils losing in 3 like that to anyone whose name isn’t Novak. I’ll admit I’m somewhat biased as Thiem was my pre-draw prediction to win, but he’s marching through a difficult draw and has looked better each round. Khachanov scored a hard fought win today over Delpo as predicted (hi mom!) and looked extremely solid on the backhand side. Delpo’s mobility was a bit compromised however, and his forehand was simply not getting through the court as it does on a hardcourt. I saw this forehand issue against Nishioka and Thompson and it continued today as Khachanov was able to retrieve most of Delpo’s shots and win almost every backhand to backhand exchange. His ability to change direction and hit his backhand down the line will hurt Thiem who tends to camp a bit in the backhand corner during these exchanges, but where I think he will struggle is with errors on the forehand and serve. He threw in a couple poorly timed double faults today and was down to start his service games many times. The clutch play was wonderful to watch today but add in Thiem’s mobility and power and he is going to have to go a bit bigger on shots and this will cause errors. Thiem in 4.

Federer Wawrinka : Hello 2014. Nice to see you again. Federer is fresh and now playing an opponent who is 3-22 against him. Two of these wins for popcorn’s sake were on clay but most of them were quite some time ago. Fast forward to today. Federer has yet to drop a set and Wawrinka has seen his way through two absolute brilliant contests against Dimitrov and Tsitsipas. I don’t think fatigue will be a factor with a day of rest but I’m not sure if Stan can extend this one far enough for Federer to start to break down, and Federer has been producing winners at a very impressive rate. I have no idea what to expect but predicting Roger Federer losses is baaaaaad business and at +230 on Bovada Wawrinka just isn’t worth it.

Nadal Nishikori : Nadal hasn't had much trouble thus far and he shouldn't be expected to here. Similar to Novak, he's been rolling through the draw and this is the first match where his opponent represents a big step up in quality. Unfortunately, or fortunately depending on which camp you're in, Nishikori's troubles on serve and on the forehand side make it near impossible for him to beat Nadal on clay. Given that he's Kei Nishikori he'll hang in the rallies and work his hardest, but similar to Novak again without a major implosion from Nadal he loses this in 3 sets, 4 if Nadal blinks like he did against Goffin.

Tiny bonus I noticed today I’m 14th in Tennis Channel’s bracket competition and none of the brackets ahead of me have Thiem winning. Wish me luck! Team Thiem
submitted by blurryturtle to tennis [link] [comments]

E-Sports & Virtual Betting

With 454 Million total audience viewers in 2019, and expected to hit 645 million viewers by 2022(2019 Global Esports Market Report); Esports is one of the fastest growing entertainment phenomena ever seen in the history of sports or competition. With contenders reigning from merely every corner of the world, and the majority of the age demographic under 25, it’s safe to say esports has yet to see it’s peak- and is far from it. Now carrying the recognition as an official sport, league owners must be mindful of major factors often shared in traditional sports; such as fair contracts, scheduling, and gambling. Although introduced as one large entity, Esports is a broad term to describe a variety of different video games and game modes. For example, if you were to compete in League of Legends, your team would have a total of 5 players versus other teams of 5. If you were to compete in Super Smash Brothers, you’d be competing as an individual versus other individuals. Each of these games requires its own unique skill set. In contrast to traditional sports, many E-Sports competitor’s openly broadcast their schematics, personality, and some, full practices. These live broadcasts on websites such as Amazon’s Twitch, or mixer, gives the average viewer much simpler alternative to help comprehend the game. And gives young e sports players a genuine insight to help grow their skills. But how does this accessibility affect the game? If NFL’s winning-est team in history, the New England Patriots, were to broadcast every practice, and Tom Brady was to stream his training methods daily; many in the sports world would argue they would’ve accomplished a fraction of their current successes. With discretion and scheme being such a big factor in major league sports, it’s understandable why teams go as far as possible to gain any knowledge on opposing teams. Whether it be hidden camera men to scout teams sidelines to see hand signs or dugout members banging their bats in a specific fashion to alert the batter of the change-up. All of these actions, legal or illegal, are summed up as an attempt to attain any sliver of insight that can help win the game. So with all of this information openly given to opposing teams through streaming platforms,YouTube, and broadcasts, who wins? Gamblers. Virtual gamblers specifically. With the legalization of sports gambling in its infancy, along with the expansion of popularity in virtual live-betting with websites such as bovada; virtual betting and esports allows gamblers the experience to place bets and watch an event at live speed, in under 10 clicks of a mouse. And although many esports supporters are too young to place bets themselves; in the future, this could lead to a form of gambling never quite seen before. A form of gambling where the bettor no longer needs to walk to the sportsbook to place their bets. A form of gambling where the bettor no longer needs to watch their event at a bar. A form of gambling where the bettor can leisurely watch their favorite stream a couple times a week and carry the same insight as the bookkeepers they’re betting against. For older sports bettors and those relatively unfamiliar with esports, it may be quite unappealing to place your hard earned money on the back of 20 year old virtual athletes. But with their ability to train from such a young age, for a median 8 hours a day, over the course of a couple years. The time esports athletes spend honing their craft is equivalent, or greater than many other professional athletes at the same age. Many younger bettors with an understanding of esports and the sports book see the golden opportunity at hand. And with an estimated $8 billion placed in 2019 for esports bets alone, the interest in the collision of these two worlds can predictably be at an all-time high by the end of the decade.
submitted by ZekeBets to u/ZekeBets [link] [comments]

Which poker softwares should I buy? For tournament grinding

I play micro and low mtts and occasionally cash and plo. I use Windows 10 and I play on all the American facing sites, particularly BetOnline, Bovada, ACR and Global. I'm aware that I need a card catcher to record and import my BetOnline histories and I plan on getting this.
In terms of MTT analysis anyone have a strong opinion on which tracker should I get? I've tried looking up the question and the opinions seem to lead me toward PokerTracker so i'm wondering if anyone has used both and knew of which had the most useful capabilities for MTT tournament and hand analysis. Thanks for any help.
submitted by HOW_COULD to poker [link] [comments]

Conor "Mystic Mac" McGregor (21-4) vs Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (36-13)

Conor

UFC 246 Odds: McGregor -350/ Cerrone +275

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UFC 246 Odds, Conor McGregor vs Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone Betting Preview & Prediction
Written by Lester Cullan on January 16, 2020
When: Saturday, 10 PM ET (main card)
Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
TV: PPV
Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
UFC 246 Odds: McGregor -350/ Cerrone +275
McGregor is a -350 favorite for this welterweight bout and Cerrone at +275
Conor "Mystic Mac" McGregor (21-4) vs Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (36-13)
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Mystic Mac returns to the welterweight division for the first time since August 2016. He went 1-1 during his first stint in the weight class, both against Nate Diaz. Conor hasn’t won a fight since he became a rare 2 division UFC title holder, cracking Eddie Alvarez like a iron clad champion, and looking like the Irish Hulk Hogan until Mayweather outclassed him with a Mexican Style TKO in 10. True believers knew that a 4 leaf clover from Saint Patrick himself wouldn't of gave The Mystic Mac a chance in a boxing match against the greatest, but Vegas cleaned up as everyone took that underdog sucker bet and 4.3 million domestic pay-per-views exceeding $600 million in revenue.
Past History
McGregor got his beaten from Khabib Nurmagomedov for the lightweight title and to teach him a lesson, clobbering McGregors head and submitting the man like a pure bred MMA champion – all though Conor seems to only lose by submission.
It’s expected that McGregor will get a rematch with Khabib later this year if Khabib wins his title defense in April at UFC 249 against No. 1 lightweight contender Tony Ferguson. That fight has been booked four times before, and each time it’s fallen through for various reasons mostly due to the fact that Ferguson is a animal and animals get wounded.
"UFC president Dana White has gone on record saying that if McGregor defeats Cerrone, he will be on standby to replace either Nurmagomedov or Ferguson at UFC 249. And to be honest with you, Conor believes that Khabib versus Tony is not going to happen.”
What about the Cowboy?
The 36-year-old Cerrone has 23 wins in the UFC since his inception in 2011
Cowboy split at 2-2 last year, losing his final 2 - Ferguson with a 2nd round TKO and then Justin Gaethje with a 1st round stop. A big right hand hurt Cerrone midway through the round, Gaethje finished the job for the win.
Cowboy Cerrone is a record breaking savage, he holds many titles and accolades for fighting in the UFC, but he has many more out of the ring accomplishments that matter to his legacy as well. Donald Cowboy Cerrone is a rare breed of human that is not only extremely dangerous with his kicks and combinations, but he'll also steal your girl and take her horseback riding, and he wins UFC bonuses at will.
Chances are this will not go the distance.
Mac, age 31, has fought to a decision just 2 times and has 18 knockouts including the best UFC meme KO that was a 13-second knockout of Jose Aldo at UFC 194 until Masvidal sent Askren to the stone age.
Cerrone beats opponents and that's a fact, but he can also make you tap and his kicks will make you wanna let him tap you. The integrity of Dana White and the UFC Organization is interesting to say the least, the company needs a Mystic Mac win more than a close to retirement Donald Cerrone victory. The Cowboy needs the win to set up the next pay day, the fans want a upset and the bookies want your money.
6 Clips Cullan's Expert UFC 246 Prediction - CONOR MCGREGOR WINS IN ROUND 2 +330
UFC 246 Card:
Holly Holm vs. Raquel Pennington
Aleksei Oleinik vs. Maurice Greene
Cláudia Gadelha vs. Alexa Grasso
Anthony Pettis vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira
Roxanne Modafferi vs. Maycee Barber
**Andre Fili vs. SODIQ YUSUFF BY KO, TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION +175
Tim Elliott vs. Askar Askarov
Drew Dober vs. Nasrat Haqparast
Aleksa Camur vs. Justin Ledet
Brian Kelleher vs. Ode Osbourne
Sabina Mazo vs. JJ Aldrich
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bovada bet history video

Bovada Sports - YouTube Random Online Jackpot Bovada How to Bet on eSports Bovada NFL Betting - Why It's The Best How to Download Bovada-Bodog Hand Histories - YouTube How to Use the Bovada Bodog Hand History Replayer - YouTube Bovada Sports Betting Review 2020  Best Sports Betting Sites for US Players Bovada Casino Slots Bovada always bet

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